FPL GW38: Data Scout XI Results

We end the season scoring just below The Scout’s score of 71, with our differential picks not working out.

Thank you for reading out fantasy scout starting XI’s. We really appreciate it. We will be back next season, from the very start. Happy Summer, and enjoy the Euro’s!

Final score:

Data Scout XI 981 – 869 Official FPL Scout

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For our final XI, we’re shaping up in a 3-5-2 formation..

GK – Raya, Arsenal

The golden glove winner could yet extend his clean sheets tally to one further this weekend against an Everton side who have averaged 1.38 xG in their last five away matches. Raya has conceded 0.6 goals in his last five home matches, keeping him as the most in form goal keeper in fantasy premier league. Keepers at home against Everton have averaged 4.6 points per game. Despite his form, Raya is still only owned by 10.7% of FPL players. He is still a key differential, and a keeper who does not currently face a lot of shots.

DEF – Gvardiol, Man City

He’s everyone’s favourite fantasy player at the moment. Gvardiol has scored 77 points since game week 30, averaging 11 points a game week. In comparison, he scored 44 points between game weeks 1-29. He has six goals and assists in his last six games.

DEF – White, Arsenal

Ben White has been in great form for Arsenal at home, averaging 5.1 points per home game this season. He has four goals and assists in his last five home matches, and is currently the top scoring defender for points this season.

DEF – Porro, Spurs

While he may not be in the best of form, like his club, Spurs end their season with a trip to relegated Sheffield United. Defenders who have faced Sheffield away from home this season have averaged 3.9 points per game, which is the highest against any team in the league. Spurs could finish strongly here, with a potential clean sheet or attacking return for Porro.

MID – Havertz, Arsenal

Arsenal’s talisman in the second half of this season, Havertz is back in our team. He has ten goals and assists in his last ten game weeks, averaging 7.1 points in that period. With Arsenal needing a win, it’s likely Havertz will be involved in the majority of their attacks.

MID – Son, Spurs

Like his side, Son has run off the boil in recent weeks. But he can finish strongly against a hapless Sheffield United team. Son has averaged 6.4 points per away game this season, and midfielders have averaged 4.7 points against Sheffield this season.

MID – Palmer (c), Chelsea

This season’s current top points scorer for midfielders on fantasy football, Palmer ends his season at home against Bournemouth. He has averaged an incredible 9.1 points per home game, and midfielders have averaged more points at home to Bournemouth than against any other team (4.1). He captains our final side.

MID – Gibbs-White, Nottingham Forest

Gibbs-White has eight goals and assists in his last ten game weeks. His side travel to a Burnley side which midfielders have averaged 4.1 points against away from home. He is owned by 1.7% of managers in FPL, and could be a vital differential for the final weekend.

MID – Foden, Man City

Only Haaland has averaged more points at home this season than Foden. Both players are in great form for their side as they look to clinch the title this weekend. Foden has seven goals and assists in last ten game weeks.

FWD – Haaland, Man City

Haaland looks in form right when City need him to be. He has eight goals in his last five home matches. Forwards at home against West Ham have averaged 4.9 points this season, it would be a suprise if Haaland didn’t make any attacking contributions in this fixture.

FWD – Gakpo, Liverpool

Has recently replaced Darwin up top for Liverpool, and has been involved in the goals. He has four goals and assists in his last five matches. Only owned by 2.5% of FPL players, he could be a decisive differential in your fantasy team for the final weekend.

Subs: Becker (GK, Liverpool), Boly (DEF, Nottingham Forest), Mateta (FWD, Crystal Palace), Reguilon(DEF, Brentford).

Captaincy options:

Player	Fixtures	Opponent Average xGA (last five)	Average Return (G+A, last five)	Probability of an attacking return %	Probability of a clean sheet %
Haaland	WHU (H)	2.96	1.6	0.91	N/A
Foden	WHU (H)	2.96	1.2	0.83	0.57
Palmer	BOU (H)	1.84	2.2	0.80	0.57
Gvardiol	WHU (H)	2.96	0.6	0.71	0.57
Havertz	EVE (H)	2.06	1.0	0.61	0.60
White	EVE (H)	2.06	0.8	0.57	0.69
Gakpo	WOL (H)	2.00	0.6	0.52	N/A
Gibbs-White	BUR (A)	1.48	0.4	0.37	0.38
Son	SHU (A)	1.52	0.2	0.34	0.15
Porro	SHU (A)	1.52	0.0	0.30	0.20
Raya	EVE (H)	–	–	–	0.60

Table sorted by probability of an attacking return %. Different clean sheet probabilities for players on the same team are affected by playing time. A player who comes off after playing 60 minutes where they did not concede a goal counts as a clean sheet on fantasy football.