Results from last article

Profit / Loss from 14/06/25

MATCH	BET	BF ODDS	STAKE	PROFIT/LOSS
St. Louis v LA Galaxy	St. Louis -.25	1.87	10.00	-5.00
Columbus v Vancouver Whitecaps	Vancouver +.5	2.02	10.00	-10.00
Philadelphia v Charlotte FC	Philadelphia -.5	2.06	10.00	+10.60
Kansas City v FC Dallas	Dallas +.25	2.05	10.00	+10.50
Austin FC v New York Red Bulls	Austin -.25	1.91	10.00	+9.10
Colorado v Orlando City	Colorado +.25	2.0	10.00	-10.00
			Total P/L:	+£5.20
			Overall P/L:	+£226.07

MLS

THURSDAY

CF MONTREAL V CINCINNATI (00:30 BST)

This one carries a slight risk, the risk being Montreal haven’t won at home this season. Eggs are in the draw basket. Both of these sides are very similar when you take a look at the underlying numbers, however Cincy have massively over-performed so far this season. They have 33 points where they’re expected to have 23, conceding 4.4 less goals than they should have.

While Montreal are the opposite, they’ve got 11 points when they should have 21. They also should have scored 6.1 goals more than they currently have, and have also conceded 6.8 more than expected… Cincy have actually failed to win at Montreal in their last four visits too. Hopefully the regression to the mean takes play here… model odds: 1.71.

BET: Montreal +.25 at 2.01 (Asian Handicap)

Montreal Win:	+£10.10
Draw:	+£5.05
Cincinnati Win:	-£10.00

TORONTO V NEW YORK RED BULLS (00:30 BST)

Toronto have been poor, while Red Bulls have been good… but poor away from home. Just the one win on the road for New York in nine matches. They’re the better side right now though, and have had decent results away to Toronto in recent years. Model odds: 1.84.

BET: NYRB –.25 at 2.03 (Asian Handicap)

NYRB Win:	+£10.30
Draw:	-£5.00
Toronto Win:	-£10.00

CHICAGO FIRE V PHILADELPHIA (01:30 BST)

Chicago have been fairly entertaining recently, however they’ve only recorded the one win at home this season, whereas Philly have the 2nd most points in the Eastern division, they even top the league on xG. Model odds: 1.33.

BET: Philly +.5 at 1.85 (Asian Handicap)

Philly Win/Draw:	+£8.50
Chicago Win:	-£10.00

MINNESOTA UTD V HOUSTON DYNAMO (01:30 BST)

Houston won in their last visit to Minnesota, but it’s the only win they’d recorded there in their last nine trips. Backing the better side here. Model odds: 1.52

BET: Minnesota -.25 at 1.91 (Asian Handicap)

Minnesota Win:	+£9.10
Draw:	-£5.00
Houston Win:	-£10.00