Results from last article
Back to winning ways, and with merit too.
Profit / Loss from 23/07/25
| MATCH | BET | BF ODDS | STAKE | PROFIT/LOSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara v Mirassol | Mirassol +.5 | 1.9 | 10.00 | +9.00 |
| Fluminense v Palmeiras | Palmeiras 0 | 1.9 | 10.00 | +9.00 |
| Corinthians v Cruzeiro | Cruzeiro 0 | 2.05 | 10.00 | Stake Return |
| Total P/L: | +£18.00 | |||
| Overall P/L: | +£214.67 |
MLS
SUNDAY
INTER MIAMI V CINCINNATI (00:15 BST)
Was going to ignore this one as I keep getting burned by Miami, however Messi and Alba are suspended for this match. My model was in favour of the hosts, only slightly though, therefore this information was enough for me to tilt towards Cincinnati. Big fan of Evander too, followed him since his Midtjylland playing days.
BET: Cincinnati +.25 at 1.88 (Asian Handicap)
| Cincinnati Win: | +£8.80 |
| Draw: | +£4.40 |
| Inter Miami Win: | -£10.00 |
PHILADELPHIA V COLORADO RAPIDS (00:30 BST)
Philly are one of the best sides in the league this season, at home too. Colorado are at the opposite end of the away table. Philly *should* win.
BET: Philly -.75 at 1.83 (Asian Handicap)
| Philly Win by 2 or more: | +£8.30 |
| Philly Win by 1 goal: | +£4.15 |
| Draw/Colorado Win: | -£10.00 |
CHICAGO FIRE V NEW YORK RB (01:30 BST)
Could be a messy game. The market is currently in favour of Chicago, however I can envisage a draw.
BET: New York RB +.5 at 2.04 (Asian Handicap)
| New York Win/Draw: | +£10.40 |
| Chicago Win: | -£10.00 |
ST. LOUIS V MINNESOTA UTD (01:30 BST)
Market price is in line with my model’s odds, so usually I’d ignore this one as there isn’t an edge. However I find myself agreeing with both market and model and think this bet should be made. Both sides are close in quality right now, but Minnesota are *just* slightly better.
BET: Minnesota 0 at 1.9 (Asian Handicap)
| Minnesota Win: | +£9.00 |
| Draw: | Stake Return |
| St. Louis Win: | -£10.00 |
VANCOUVER W’CAPS V KANSAS CITY (03:30 BST)
Don’t like making this bet but it appears to be a value one. Vancouver should win this one, they’re at home and hosting a really poor Kansas team. However, Kansas are doing better recently while Vancouver’s form has dipped slightly. We’ll see. Just need the Whitecaps to not win by two or more goals.
BET: Kansas +1.25 at 1.99 (Asian Handicap)
| Kansas Win/Draw: | +£9.90 |
| Vancouver Win by 1 goal: | +£4.95 |
| Vancouver Win by 2 or more goal: | -£10.00 |
Brasileiro Série A
SATURDAY
MIRASSOL V VITORIA (22:30 BST)
Vitoria haven’t managed a win away from home yet, only thing that will scupper this bet is a draw.
BET: Mirassol -.5 at 1.86 (Asian Handicap)
| Mirassol Win: | +£8.60 |
| Vitoria Win/Draw: | -£10.00 |
BOTAFOGO V CORINTHIANS (22:30 BST)
Botafogo remain in good form and unbeaten at home, Corinthians have one win in nine.
BET: Botafogo -.75 at 1.84 (Asian Handicap)
| Botafogo Win by 2 or more: | +£8.40 |
| Botafogo Win by 1 goal: | +£4.20 |
| Draw/Corinthians Win: | -£10.00 |

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