Results from yesterday

Yeah, ok. Bahia should’ve won against Sport Recife. Both sides played out a nil-nil in the end while the xG score of 0.45 – 0.90 suggests Bahia probably should’ve scored. Mirassol were coasting at 2-0 but threw it away towards the end of the game, fortunately though they scored again in the 83rd to make it 3-2 and a win! A draw would have been a fairer result when consulting the xG, was very close to being one.

Profit / Loss from 02/08/25

MATCH	BET	BF ODDS	STAKE	PROFIT/LOSS
Sport Recife v Bahia	Bahia -.25	2.08	10.00	-5.00
Mirassol v Vasco da Gama	Mirassol -.5	1.95	10.00	+9.50
			Total P/L:	+£4.50
			Overall P/L:	+£200.87

Brasileiro Série A

SUNDAY

BOTAFOGO V CRUZEIRO (20:00 BST)

Hard bet to make but I will trust my model here as it HEAVILY favours the hosts to get a result. My concern is that Cruzeiro aren’t too bad.

BET: Botafogo -.25 at 1.87 (Asian Handicap)

Botafogo Win:	+£8.70
Draw:	-£5.00
Cruzeiro Win:	-£10.00

CORINTHIANS V FORTALEZA (20:00 BST)

Again, don’t entirely trust this bet myself but my model HEAVILY favours Corinthians. Fortaleza’s poor away form probably helps.

BET: Corinthians -.25 at 1.82 (Asian Handicap)

Corinthians Win:	+£8.20
Draw:	-£5.00
Fortaleza:	-£10.00

CEARA V FLAMENGO (22:30 BST)

I originally had this as a +.5 bet for Ceara but I could not by any means finds much to back it. Flamengo are top of the league and would prefer to stay up there, going for a win here.

BET: Flamengo -.5 at 1.99 (Asian Handicap)

Flamengo Win:	+£9.90
Ceara Win/Draw:	-£10.00

VITORIA V PALMEIRAS (23:30 BST)

Palmeiras are the hottest away side in the league so far, but they’re tripping away to Vitoria who have only lost twice at home this season. Could be a close one, or maybe not? I try not to check the head to head results as they’re just noise and not predictive; but Palmeiras have won their last two trips to this venue.

BET: Palmeiras -.5 at 2.04 (Asian Handicap)

Palmeiras Win:	+£10.40
Vitoria Win/Draw:	-£10.00