Results from Last weekend
Another loss, perhaps too eager with the Villa/Sunderland bets. On a hard run at the moment.
Profit / Loss from 23/08/25
| MATCH | BET | BF ODDS | STAKE | PROFIT/LOSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City v Spurs | Spurs +1.25 | 1.95 | 10.00 | +9.50 |
| Brentford v Villa | Villa -.25 | 1.95 | 10.00 | -10.00 |
| Burnley v Sunderland | Sunderland +.25 | 1.92 | 10.00 | -10.00 |
| Bragantino v Fluminense | Fluminense +.25 | 1.96 | 10.00 | -10.00 |
| Cruzeiro v Internacional | Cruzeiro -.5 | 1.81 | 10.00 | +8.10 |
| Gremio v Ceara | Ceara +.25 | 2.11 | 10.00 | +5.55 |
| Total P/L: | -£6.85 | |||
| Overall P/L: | +£122.12 |
Premier League
SATURDAY
MANCHESTER UNITED V BURNLEY (15:00 BST)
This line seems good value, despite the fuss around United. They’re creating a decent amount of xG right now and are hosting a newly promoted side who will be mostly defensive throughout the match. This match comes at a good time after their dismal league cup exit to Grismby in the week.
BET: Man Utd 1.25 at 1.89 (Asian Handicap)
| United Win by 2 or More: | +£8.90 |
| United Win by 1 Goal: | -£5.00 |
| Draw/Burnley Win: | -£10.00 |
LEEDS V NEWCASTLE (17:30 BST)
This line currently shows how hesistant the market is to back Newcastle without Gordon or Isak leading their line. The rest of their squad is healthy though, and they’re still a hard team to play through. Currently a value bet.
BET: Newcastle -.25 at 2.08 (Asian Handicap)
| Newcastle Win: | +£10.80 |
| Draw: | -£5.00 |
| Leeds Win: | -£10.00 |
SUNDAY
NOTT FOREST V WEST HAM (14:00 BST)
West Ham are in trouble. Can’t see Potter making it until Christmas. Wood hattrick (for my FPL).
BET: Forest -.75 at 1.93 (Asian Handicap)
| Forest Win by 2 Goals or More: | +£9.30 |
| Forest Win by 1 Goal: | +£4.65 |
| Draw/West Ham Win: | -£10.00 |
LIVERPOOL V ARSENAL (16:30 BST)
THE BIG ONE. Arsenal’s record against the top six is phenominal in recent years, and Liverpool don’t look as secure as they did last season. Arsenal look solid, but without Saka and Odegaard. If this was last season the odds would have shifted against them after his injury against Leeds, but they have had a great window of squad depth building. Might even see Eze take part.
I managed to get this bet when it was priced at 1.92. Since then it has steamed down to 1.71, and the line has changed to +.25 at 2.01. Still value there.
BET: Arsenal +.5 at 1.92 (Asian Handicap)
| Arsenal Win/Draw: | +£9.20 |
| Liverpool Win: | -£10.00 |

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