Results from last article
What a lovely set of wins on my return to writing these articles! Despite not updating my bets online, I have continued to bet via my syndicate and right now I am on a roll. I’ve profited from 21 from my last 25 bets, crazy stuff.
Profit / Loss from 24/10/25
| MATCH | BET | BF ODDS | STAKE | PROFIT/LOSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Sunderland | Sunderland +1.25 | 2.08 | 10.00 | +£10.80 |
| Man Utd v Brighton | Man Utd -.5 | 2.04 | 10.00 | +£10.40 |
| Brentford v Liverpool | Brentford +.75 | 1.90 | 10.00 | +£9.00 |
| Arsenal v Crystal Palace | Palace +1.25 | 1.99 | 10.00 | +£4.95 |
| Bournemouth v Nott Forest | Bournemouth -.5 | 1.88 | 10.00 | +£8.80 |
| Wolves v Burnley | Wolves -.5 | 2.04 | 10.00 | -£10.00 |
| Total P/L: | +£33.95 | |||
| Overall P/L: | +£117.77 |
La Liga
SUNDAY
BARCELONA V ELCHE (17:30 GMT)
Starting this article with a single bet from the Spanish La Liga. Only match I found this weekend that had value outside of the Premier League. My model believes Barca should be priced around 1.60 for this line, not 2.08.
BET: Barcelona -2.0 at 2.08 (Asian Handicap)
| Barcelona Win by 3 or more: | +£10.80 |
| Barcelona Win by 2 Goals: | Stake Return |
| Barcelona DO NOT Win by 2 Goals: | -£10.00 |
Premier League
SATURDAY
BRIGHTON V LEEDS (15:00 GMT)
Model prefers Brighton here on an ouright bet. Leeds are actually good, however the three goals they’ve scored away from home so far have all come from one match (1-3 vs Wolves). Creating chances on the road but the goals aren’t there, yet.
BET: Brighton -.5 at 2.0 (Asian Handicap)
| Brighton Win: | +£10.00 |
| Draw/Leeds Win: | -£10.00 |
CRYSTAL PALACE V BRENTFORD (15:00 GMT)
Slight value on this outright bet, but not huge. Brentford have suprised everyone by continuing to be themselves this season, could be a draw. Palace to stamp on their recent league slump.
BET: Palace -.5 at 2.02 (Asian Handicap)
| Palace Win: | +£10.20 |
| Draw/Brentford Win: | -£10.00 |
BURNLEY V ARSENAL (15:00 GMT)
Line feels weird. My model says it’s bang on too, but looking at both teams’ metrics I can’t work out why. I will be amazed if Burnley score in this match, but won’t be suprised to see Arsenal score three set piece goals against this low block, which will concede so many corners.
BET: Arsenal -1.75 at 2.11 (Asian Handicap)
| Arsenal Win by 3 or more: | +£11.10 |
| Arsenal Win by 2 goals: | +£5.55 |
| Arsenal DO NOT win by 2 or more goals: | -£10.00 |
FOREST V MAN UTD (15:00 GMT)
United are in a good place right now, and Forest are restarting under their third manager of the season (we’re in November…). Despite how it looks, Forest should still be a tough place to visit under the circumstances. Leaning on a draw here.
BET: Forest +.5 at 1.88 (Asian Handicap)
| Forest Win/Draw: | +£8.80 |
| United Win: | -£10.00 |
SUNDAY
MAN CITY V BOURNEMOUTH (16:30 GMT)
Bournemouth are a side who are setup to be hell to play against if you’re a top six side, being able to create pure chaos. City will have some players returning to their side for this match, but they’re still quite vunerable in transition.
BET: Bournemouth +1.25 at 1.85 (Asian Handicap)
| Bournemouth Draw/Win: | +£8.50 |
| Man City win by 1 goal: | +£4.25 |
| Man City win by 2 or more Goals: | -£10.00 |
MONDAY
SUNDERLAND V EVERTON (20:00 GMT)
There’s value on the home side here.
BET: Sunderland 0 at 2.01 (Asian Handicap)
| Sunderland Win: | +£10.10 |
| Draw: | Stake Return |
| Everton Win: | -£10.00 |
OddsDash 
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