Results from last article
Back from another little break, just enough time has passed for the sting of the last article to have faded away. Leverkusen topped it off by losing a game they perhaps should have won.
Profit / Loss from 06/12/25
| MATCH | BET | BF ODDS | STAKE (£) | PROFIT/LOSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa v Arsenal | Arsenal | 1.99 | 10.00 | -£10.00 |
| Spurs v Brentford | Brentford +.25 | 1.87 | 10.00 | -£10.00 |
| Augsburg v Leverkusen | Leverkusen -.5 | 1.91 | 10.00 | -£10.00 |
| Total P/L: | -£30.00 | |||
| Overall P/L: | +£202.02 |
Premier League
SATURDAY
BRIGHTON V SUNDERLAND
I’ve been looking forward to AFCON arriving mainly due to certain teams losing a lot of their players mid season… AKA Sunderland. They will not be at full strength until at least mid January. Excellent value on Brighton to win here.
BET: Brighton -.75 at 1.9 (Asian Handicap)
| Brighton win by 2 or more: | +£9.00 |
| Brighton win by 1: | +£4.50 |
| Draw/Sunderland Win | -£10.00 |
BOURNEMOUTH V BURNLEY
Bournemouth have the 2nd best defence in the league at home this season according to the league table, having only conceded five times. They’re hosting Burnley who have conceded twenty-three in eight matches on the road. My model suggests 2-0 to the hosts as a reasonable score.
BET: Bournemouth -1.25 at 2.07 (Asian Handicap)
| Bournemouth win by 2 or more: | +£10.70 |
| Bournemouth win by 1: | -£5.00 |
| Draw/Burnley Win: | -£10.00 |
SPURS V LIVERPOOL
What a fun game this will be. Liverpool are missing players due to AFCON (Salah.. although they don’t seem to be missing him at all these last few weeks) and injuries, and Spurs just have endless injuries. The xG justice table suggests these sides are at polar opposite ends of the table for performance.. Liverpool in 5th with +6.2 GD, and Spurs in 15th with -6.7 GD. Tottenham over performed their start of the season and their recent results are showing the regression to their underlying metrics now.
BET: Liverpool -.25 at 1.86 (Asian Handicap)
| Liverpool Win: | +£8.60 |
| Draw: | -£5.00 |
| Spurs Win: | -£10.00 |
BET: Over 2.75 Goals at 1.92 (Goal Lines)
| 4 Goals or More: | +£9.20 |
| Exactly 3 Goals: | +£4.60 |
| 2 Goals or Less: | -£10.00 |
OddsDash 
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