Results from the Weekend matches

Another profitable weekend! This one started really nicely with a Bologna win, I’m really proud of predicting this outcome. A great, well deserved result for them too, their first win against Milan since 2016. The good news continued the following day with Sunderland recording a win in a fairly even tie.

I had a choice of two matches to watch on Saturday’s 12.30pm KO, and I picked the wrong one. I watched Blackburn and Norwich struggle do much at all. Norwich were the better side in the second half, and there were some contentious decisions… maybe there should’ve been three red cards instead of one? maybe a Blackburn pen? Weimann offside for the last minute equaliser?

Blackburn went a man down thanks to a red card to Dennis in the 85th minute, which was then followed by Norwich taking the lead on the 90th. Six minutes added on and an offside Weimann scores with the final touch of the match. Got lucky with this one and had my stake returned.

The match I should’ve watched was Oxford v Coventry, 3-2 final score to the away side. The second half seemed to be a you score-then we score type of match. Coventry took the lead twice, pegged back twice, then they missed a penalty until they managed to take the lead again shortly after. They won comfortably on xG, which makes me feel good. I predicted this one correctly, just wish I watched it.

Girona v Celta Vigo played out a 2-2 draw. Gironi took the lead and then found themselves 2-1 down in the 2nd half, pulling back a late-ish equaliser. Half a stake returned. That was followed by a nice start to the match for Leipzig who took the lead thanks to Simons in the first minute of the match. But then they went on to bottle it and lose 2-1. Two losses in a row. A shame. But then… my result of the weekend arrived.

The Mad Hatters! This felt like a really risky bet, but once again my model was right! A simple 1-0 win for Luton against Portsmouth, an important win for them at this stage of the season. And the best return I’ve had so far with +£13. That result now meant that no matter what happened in the final two matches, I was finishing the weekend on another profit! (worst case scenario: +£7.20)

Thankfully that was the case because Leverkusen blew Frankfurt apart in the first half. Felt like a repeat of my Dortmund bet the other weekend where I bet on them to not win by 2 or more goals and ended up winning 6-0. And then to finish it off, Valencia scored a late goal in a crazy game against Osasuna.

I played football on Sunday night so I missed the game, but after I finished and managed to check my phone I saw that I had tons of notifications from this match. 3-2 at half time. It finished 3-3 though, no thanks to an 87th equaliser. Bit gutting as I felt confidence in that one, but that’s football!

Still made a profit again though: +£12.20. Four wins, Four losses, and a stake return. Can’t complain making money from a weekend with a 44% win rate.

Profit / Loss from 27/02/25

MATCH	BET	BF ODDS	STAKE	PROFIT/LOSS
Bologna v Milan	Bologna 0	2.02	10.00	+£10.20
Sheff Wed v Sunderland	Sunderland 0	1.82	10.00	+£8.20
Blackburn v Norwich	Blackburn 0	1.9	10.00	Stake Returned
Oxford v Coventry	Coventry -.5	2.08	10.00	+£10.80
Luton v Portsmouth	Luton to Win	2.3	10.00	+£13.00
Leipzig v Mainz	Leipzig to Win	1.98	10.00	-£10.00
Girona v Celta Vigo	Girona -.25	1.94	10.00	-£5.00
Frankfurt v Leverkusen	Frankfurt +.75	1.97	10.00	-£10.00
Osasuna v Valencia	Osasuna -.25	1.96	10.00	-£5.00
			Total P/L:	+£12.20
			Overall P/L:	+£161.75

Just the one game for this round of midweek games. Haven’t found much value in the upcoming selection of markets. Premier League is back this coming weekend, expect a bumper round of bets on Friday.

Championship

TUESDAY